Katlyn Cerminara vs Regina Tarin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record9-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
68"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Renzo GracieTeamBonebreakers MMA· 1626 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692
If they win+24→ 1723
If they lose-24→ 1675
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Katlyn CerminaraRegina Tarin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Katlyn Cerminara55%
Regina Tarin 45%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Katlyn Cerminara a 55% favorite over Regina Tarin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1699), separated by just 5 points.
Katlyn Cerminara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Regina Tarin enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Katlyn Cerminara finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Regina Tarin 67%.
Katlyn Cerminara carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.