Katlyn Cerminara vs Rose Namajunas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'5"
68"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Renzo GracieTeam303 Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Katlyn CerminaraRose Namajunas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rose Namajunas61%
Katlyn Cerminara 39%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Rose Namajunas a 61% favorite over Katlyn Cerminara in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Katlyn Cerminara's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1696), separated by just 8 points.
Katlyn Cerminara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Katlyn Cerminara finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Rose Namajunas 50%.
Katlyn Cerminara and Rose Namajunas share 3 common opponents: Manon Fiorot, Amanda Ribas and Jéssica Andrade.
Katlyn Cerminara carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.