Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record4-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'11"
70"Reach71"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
EXFIGHTTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
Keiichiro Nakamura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ollie Schmid carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1692
If they lose-33→ 1644
If they win+33→ 1568
If they lose-15→ 1520
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Keiichiro NakamuraOllie Schmid
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Keiichiro Nakamura72%
Ollie Schmid 28%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Keiichiro Nakamura a 72% favorite over Ollie Schmid in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Keiichiro Nakamura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1677 to 1535, a 142-point edge.
Keiichiro Nakamura enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Keiichiro Nakamura finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ollie Schmid 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.