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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ketlen Souza vs Lupita Godinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ketlen Souza
br

Ketlen Souza

“Esquentadinha”

17-6-0StrawweightUFC

1649Solid

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record14-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'2"
63"Reach61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Carioca Academy· 1614 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamLobo Gym MMA· 1722 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Lupita Godinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ketlen Souza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ketlen SouzaNow 1649
If they win+17→ 1666
If they lose-15→ 1634
Lupita GodinezNow 1667
If they win+15→ 1682
If they lose-17→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.11
Sig. strikes / min
4.43
57%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.94
53%
Strike defense
62%
0.45
Takedown avg.
2.99
0%
Takedown accuracy
16%
54%
Takedown defense
77%
0.23
Submission avg.
0.82

Trajectory

Ketlen SouzaLupita Godinez
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
2 (12%)
Submission
2 (14%)
6 (35%)
Decision
11 (79%)

Combat Edge model read

Lupita Godinez56%
Ketlen Souza 44%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Lupita Godinez a 56% favorite over Ketlen Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Lupita Godinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1649, a 18-point edge.

Ketlen Souza enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ketlen Souza finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Lupita Godinez 21%.

Ketlen Souza and Lupita Godinez share 1 common opponent: Angela Hill.

Ketlen Souza carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (split) · 2025
Angela Hill
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022