Ketlen Souza vs Marnic Mann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record6-3-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'0"
63"Reach60,0"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Carioca Academy· 1615 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamSBG Kalispell
What's at stake
Ketlen Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Marnic Mann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-20→ 1616
If they win+30→ 1581
If they lose-18→ 1533
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ketlen SouzaMarnic Mann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ketlen Souza86%
Marnic Mann 14%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Ketlen Souza a 86% favorite over Marnic Mann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Ketlen Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1551, a 85-point edge.
Marnic Mann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ketlen Souza finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Marnic Mann 67%.
Ketlen Souza and Marnic Mann share 1 common opponent: Bruna Brasil.
Ketlen Souza carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.