Ketlen Vieira vs Macy Chiasson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record10-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'11"
68"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Ketlen Vieira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Macy Chiasson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1685
If they lose-19→ 1653
If they win+19→ 1633
If they lose-13→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ketlen VieiraMacy Chiasson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ketlen Vieira64%
Macy Chiasson 36%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Ketlen Vieira a 64% favorite over Macy Chiasson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Ketlen Vieira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1614, a 58-point edge.
Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ketlen Vieira finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Macy Chiasson 60%.
Ketlen Vieira and Macy Chiasson share 4 common opponents: Norma Dumont, Pannie Kianzad, Raquel Pennington and Yana Santos.
Macy Chiasson carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.