Kirill Grishenko vs Mick Parkin
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Mick Parkin56%
Kirill Grishenko 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mick Parkin a 56% favorite over Kirill Grishenko in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kirill Grishenko's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1666), separated by just 0 points.
Kirill Grishenko enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Mick Parkin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kirill Grishenko finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mick Parkin 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record10-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
-Reach 79"
247 lbsWeight263 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kirill GrishenkoMick Parkin