Kody Steele vs Noah Gugnon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamBulgarian Top Team· 1614 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Noah Gugnon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Kody Steele carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1684
If they lose-23→ 1636
If they win+15→ 1692
If they lose-17→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kody SteeleNoah Gugnon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Noah Gugnon52%
Kody Steele 48%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Noah Gugnon a 52% favorite over Kody Steele in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Noah Gugnon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1677 to 1659, a 18-point edge.
Noah Gugnon enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Kody Steele finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Noah Gugnon 100%.
Kody Steele carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.