Kolton Englund vs Sergio Cossio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record19-12-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight166 lbs
What's at stake
Kolton Englund is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Sergio Cossio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1652
If they lose-18→ 1620
If they win+13→ 1616
If they lose-11→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kolton EnglundSergio Cossio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kolton Englund and Sergio Cossio within a point of even.
Kolton Englund holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1638 to 1603, a 35-point edge.
Sergio Cossio enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kolton Englund finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Cossio 79%.
Sergio Cossio carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.