Kolton Englund vs Sergio Cossio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record19-12-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight166 lbs
What's at stake
Kolton Englund is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Sergio Cossio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1651
If they lose-18→ 1619
If they win+13→ 1613
If they lose-11→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kolton EnglundSergio Cossio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kolton Englund56%
Sergio Cossio 44%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Kolton Englund a 56% favorite over Sergio Cossio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Kolton Englund holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1637 to 1600, a 37-point edge.
Sergio Cossio enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kolton Englund finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Cossio 79%.
Sergio Cossio carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.