Sergio Cossio vs Kolton Englund

Jul 18, 2026 · ESPN 2

Combat Edge model forecast47%Sergio Cossio53%Kolton EnglundFull forecast

DateJul 18, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueMoody Center

BroadcastESPN 2

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, July 18, 2026 — watch on ESPN 2.

US East (ET): Sat 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 1:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 10:00 AM
Your time

Sergio CossioDrako |19-12-1Sergio Cossio vs Kolton EnglundKolton EnglundThe White Assassin |15-5-0

Sergio CossioDrako19-12-1

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

19-12-1Record15-5-0

TBDAge34

5'7"Height5'8"

71"Reach69"

166 lbsWeight155 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Kolton EnglundThe White Assassin15-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Kolton Englund owns a 35-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Sergio Cossio and Kolton Englund across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Sergio CossioKolton Englund

Recent form

Sergio CossioL L L W W · -12 Elo last 5

LLLWW

Kolton EnglundL W W W W · +35 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Elo edge

Sergio Cossio1603-13 last move

Kolton Englund1638-16 last move

Why they are ranked here

Sergio Cossio#37 of 77 active Catchweight fighters · 1603 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Allan Zuñiga (rated 1546 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to Dedrek Sanders (rated 1586 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -12 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #36 Frederic Vosgröne, 0 ahead of #38 Tomáš Cigánik.

Kolton Englund#185 of 422 active Lightweight fighters · 1638 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Carlton Minus (rated 1618 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Manuel Torres (rated 1628 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +35 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #184 Mark Choinski, 0 ahead of #186 Ray Hayes.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.5-2026-07-01

47%Sergio Cossio53%Kolton Englund

Model favoriteKolton Englund

Elo baseline57% for Kolton Englund

Matchup adjustment-4 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Kolton EnglundStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Kolton Englund leads the full model at 53%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 4 points.

Current Elo ratings1603 · 1638Kolton Englund leads by 35 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1566 · 1525Sergio Cossio faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth29 · 20 fightsSergio Cossio has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Sergio CossioNow 1603 · #37 Catchweight

Wins by decision+13→ 1616

Loses by decision-11→ 1592

Kolton EnglundNow 1638 · #185 Lightweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1652

Loses by decision-18→ 1620

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Sergio CossiovsKolton Englund

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Sergio Cossiosubmission leads 47% of wins

Kolton EnglundKO/TKO leads 40% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Sergio CossioKolton Englund

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per min2.31

UFC welterweight average : 3.66

Not availableSig. strike accuracy25

UFC welterweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per min11.54

UFC welterweight average : 3.84

Not availableSig. strike defense40

UFC welterweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown average0

UFC welterweight average : 1.41

Not availableTakedown accuracy0

UFC welterweight average : 30%

Not availableTakedown defense0

UFC welterweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission average0

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

6Wins by knockout6

9Wins by submission3

4Wins by decision6

4Losses by knockout5

5Losses by submission0

3Losses by decision0

Sergio Cossio vs Kolton Englund is a scheduled Fight card fight on PFL AUSTIN : EBLEN VS KASANGANAY 2. Sergio Cossio enters with a 19-12-1 record and Kolton Englund enters with a 15-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.