Kurban Gadzhiev vs Umalat Israpilov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Umalat Israpilov60%
Kurban Gadzhiev 40%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Umalat Israpilov a 60% favorite over Kurban Gadzhiev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Umalat Israpilov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1688 to 1648, a 40-point edge.
Kurban Gadzhiev enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Umalat Israpilov enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Kurban Gadzhiev finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Umalat Israpilov 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record19-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'8"
-Reach-
137 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Umalat Israpilov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Kurban Gadzhiev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1666
If they lose-14→ 1634
If they win+14→ 1702
If they lose-18→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kurban GadzhievUmalat Israpilov