Kurban Gadzhiev vs Umalat Israpilov

DateOct 4, 2026

DivisionFlyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueColosseum

BroadcastACA TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, October 4, 2026 — watch on ACA TV.

US East (ET): Sun 8:00 AM
US West (PT): Sun 5:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sun 1:00 PM
Central Europe: Sun 2:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 11:00 PM
Your time

Kurban GadzhievPython |20-5-0Kurban Gadzhiev vs Umalat IsrapilovUmalat IsrapilovLion Heart |18-3-0

Kurban GadzhievPython20-5-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

20-5-0Record18-3-0

33Age27

5'4"Height5'8"

-Reach-

137 lbsWeight125 lbs

FlyweightWeight ClassFlyweight

Umalat IsrapilovLion Heart18-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

The Elo matchup is close or still provisional. Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Kurban Gadzhiev and Umalat Israpilov across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Kurban GadzhievUmalat Israpilov

Recent form

Kurban GadzhievL L W W W · -20 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Umalat IsrapilovW W W L W · +17 Elo last 5

WWWLW

Elo edge

Kurban Gadzhiev1659-18 last move

Umalat Israpilov1659+10 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

46%Kurban Gadzhiev54%Umalat Israpilov

Model favoriteUmalat Israpilov

Elo baseline50% for Umalat Israpilov

Matchup adjustment+4 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Umalat IsrapilovStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model breaks Elo tie

Elo alone has this matchup at 50/50. The full matchup model separates the fighters and leans Umalat Israpilov at 54%.

Current Elo ratings1659 · 1659The fighters have the same published Elo rating.

Recent opponent quality1537 · 1501Kurban Gadzhiev faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth23 · 22 fightsKurban Gadzhiev has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Kurban GadzhievvsUmalat Israpilov

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Kurban Gadzhievdecision leads 45% of wins

Umalat Israpilovdecision leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Kurban GadzhievUmalat Israpilov

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.96

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.85

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 31%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 55%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 0.63

5Wins by knockout5

6Wins by submission4

9Wins by decision9

0Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission2

4Losses by decision1

Kurban Gadzhiev vs Umalat Israpilov is a scheduled Flyweight fight on ACA 208 : SHAIKHAEV VS TUMENOV. Kurban Gadzhiev enters with a 20-5-0 record and Umalat Israpilov enters with a 18-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.