Lando Vannata vs Marcos Rosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-8-2Record2-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"HeightTBD
71"Reach45.00
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamTeam Nogueira Porto Alegre
What's at stake
Lando Vannata is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Marcos Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1584
If they lose-20→ 1552
If they win+30→ 1515
If they lose-18→ 1467
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lando VannataMarcos Rosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lando Vannata61%
Marcos Rosa 39%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Lando Vannata a 61% favorite over Marcos Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Lando Vannata holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1572 to 1485, a 87-point edge.
Lando Vannata enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Lando Vannata finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.