Combat Edge Intelligence

Lando Vannata vs Marcos Rosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marcos Rosa
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Marcos Rosa

“Digao”

2-3-0LightweightCESB

1485Average

Tale of the tape

12-8-2Record2-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"HeightTBD
71"Reach45.00
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamTeam Nogueira Porto Alegre

What's at stake

Lando Vannata is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Marcos Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Lando VannataNow 1571
If they win+12→ 1583
If they lose-20→ 1551
Marcos RosaNow 1485
If they win+30→ 1515
If they lose-18→ 1467

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.52
Sig. strikes / min
0.25
45%
Strike accuracy
28%
4.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.11
55%
Strike defense
43%
1.09
Takedown avg.
0
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
69%
Takedown defense
29%
0.30
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lando VannataMarcos Rosa
1500155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
5 (42%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Lando Vannata70%
Marcos Rosa 30%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Lando Vannata a 70% favorite over Marcos Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Lando Vannata holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1571 to 1485, a 86-point edge.

Lando Vannata enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Lando Vannata finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.