Lerone Murphy vs Movsar Evloev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
17-1-1Record20-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
73"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Movsar Evloev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Lerone Murphy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1810
If they lose-13→ 1778
If they win+13→ 1872
If they lose-19→ 1840
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lerone MurphyMovsar Evloev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Movsar Evloev66%
Lerone Murphy 34%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Movsar Evloev a 66% favorite over Lerone Murphy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Movsar Evloev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1859 to 1791, a 68-point edge.
Movsar Evloev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Lerone Murphy finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Movsar Evloev 35%.
Lerone Murphy and Movsar Evloev share 1 common opponent: Dan Ige.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.