Liam Macfadyen vs Tarcísio Romano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-0-0Record12-8-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
613 Fight FactoryTeamCerrado MMA
What's at stake
Liam Macfadyen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +17 while a loss costs more — Tarcísio Romano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1646
If they lose-31→ 1598
If they win+21→ 1539
If they lose-11→ 1507
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Liam MacfadyenTarcísio Romano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Liam Macfadyen88%
Tarcísio Romano 12%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Liam Macfadyen a 88% favorite over Tarcísio Romano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Liam Macfadyen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1629 to 1518, a 111-point edge.
Liam Macfadyen enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Liam Macfadyen finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Tarcísio Romano 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.