Combat Edge Intelligence

Liam Macfadyen vs Tarcísio Romano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Liam Macfadyen
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Liam Macfadyen

“The Celtic Samurai”

6-0-0BantamweightSMMA

1629Solid

Tale of the tape

6-0-0Record12-8-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
613 Fight Factory· 1597 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCerrado MMA· 1629 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

Liam Macfadyen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +17 while a loss costs more — Tarcísio Romano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Liam MacfadyenNow 1629
If they win+17→ 1646
If they lose-31→ 1598
Tarcísio RomanoNow 1523
If they win+21→ 1544
If they lose-11→ 1512

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Liam MacfadyenTarcísio Romano
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (17%)
4 (67%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Liam Macfadyen59%
Tarcísio Romano 41%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Liam Macfadyen a 59% favorite over Tarcísio Romano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Liam Macfadyen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1629 to 1523, a 106-point edge.

Liam Macfadyen enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Liam Macfadyen finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Tarcísio Romano 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.