Long Xiao vs Su Young You
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-12-0Record16-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
70"Reach65"
136 lbsWeight136 lbs
What's at stake
Su Young You is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Long Xiao carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1680
If they lose-11→ 1656
If they win+15→ 1708
If they lose-17→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Long XiaoSu Young You
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Long Xiao63%
Su Young You 37%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Long Xiao a 63% favorite over Su Young You in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Su Young You's way (46%).
Su Young You holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1667, a 26-point edge.
Long Xiao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Long Xiao finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Su Young You 50%.
Long Xiao and Su Young You share 1 common opponent: Shohei Nose.
Long Xiao carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.