Long Xiao vs Yunus Evloev
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Long Xiao71%
Yunus Evloev 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Long Xiao a 71% favorite over Yunus Evloev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yunus Evloev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1668), separated by just 1 points.
Long Xiao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Long Xiao finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Yunus Evloev 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
27-12-0Record28-10-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'6"
70"Reach-
136 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xin-Du Martial Arts ClubTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1678 avg Elo · 33 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1655
If they win+12→ 1680
If they lose-12→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Long XiaoYunus Evloev