Losene Keita vs Luke Riley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-2-0Record14-0-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72"Reach69"
154 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lamiro Fight ClubTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1770
If they lose-16→ 1738
If they win+16→ 1770
If they lose-16→ 1738
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Losene KeitaLuke Riley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Losene Keita53%
Luke Riley 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Losene Keita a 53% favorite over Luke Riley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1754 vs 1754), separated by just 0 points.
Luke Riley enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Losene Keita finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Luke Riley 71%.
Losene Keita carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.