Losene Keita vs Nathaniel Wood
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-2-0Record23-7-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'6"
72"Reach69"
154 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lamiro Fight ClubTeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
Losene Keita is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Nathaniel Wood carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1770
If they lose-18→ 1738
If they win+13→ 1733
If they lose-11→ 1709
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Losene KeitaNathaniel Wood
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Losene Keita54%
Nathaniel Wood 46%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Losene Keita a 54% favorite over Nathaniel Wood in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Losene Keita holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1756 to 1720, a 36-point edge.
Losene Keita finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Nathaniel Wood 57%.
Losene Keita and Nathaniel Wood share 1 common opponent: Muhammad Naimov.
Losene Keita carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.