Combat Edge Intelligence

Losene Keita vs Nathaniel Wood

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Losene Keita
be

Losene Keita

“Black Panther”

16-2-0LightweightUFC

1730Good

Tale of the tape

16-2-0Record23-6-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'6"
72"Reach69"
154 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lamiro Fight ClubTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Losene KeitaNow 1730
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714
Nathaniel WoodNow 1733
If they win+12→ 1745
If they lose-12→ 1721

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
5.74
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.32
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.46
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
73%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.52

Trajectory

Losene KeitaNathaniel Wood
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (63%)
KO/TKO
8 (35%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (22%)
6 (38%)
Decision
10 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Losene Keita and Nathaniel Wood within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1733), separated by just 3 points.

Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Losene Keita finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Nathaniel Wood 57%.

Losene Keita carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.