Combat Edge Intelligence

Louie Sanoudakis vs Nelson Rojas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nelson Rojas
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Nelson Rojas

“Dragon”

7-4-0FeatherweightSMMA

1534Average

Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTeam Weichafe· 1527 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Louie Sanoudakis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Nelson Rojas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Louie SanoudakisNow 1657
If they win+11→ 1668
If they lose-21→ 1636
Nelson RojasNow 1534
If they win+21→ 1555
If they lose-11→ 1523

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Louie SanoudakisNelson Rojas
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
4 (31%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (62%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Louie Sanoudakis61%
Nelson Rojas 39%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sanoudakis a 61% favorite over Nelson Rojas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Louie Sanoudakis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1534, a 123-point edge.

Louie Sanoudakis enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Louie Sanoudakis finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Nelson Rojas 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.