Combat Edge Intelligence

Luana Carolina vs Michelle Montague

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record8-0-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
69"Reach69"
128 lbsWeight145 lbs
Capital da LutaTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Michelle Montague is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Luana Carolina carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Luana CarolinaNow 1615
If they win+19→ 1634
If they lose-13→ 1602
Michelle MontagueNow 1687
If they win+19→ 1706
If they lose-29→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.65
Sig. strikes / min
2.73
51%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.20
51%
Strike defense
41%
0.30
Takedown avg.
5
38%
Takedown accuracy
71%
69%
Takedown defense
0%
0.61
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Luana CarolinaMichelle Montague
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (9%)
Submission
6 (75%)
7 (64%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Michelle Montague73%
Luana Carolina 27%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Michelle Montague a 73% favorite over Luana Carolina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Michelle Montague holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1615, a 72-point edge.

Michelle Montague enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Luana Carolina finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Michelle Montague 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.