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Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucero Acosta vs Montana De La Rosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record13-10-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
69"Reach68"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Loba AcostaTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucero AcostaNow 1568
If they win+24→ 1592
If they lose-24→ 1544
Montana De La RosaNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
Not available
Strike accuracy
37%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.39
Not available
Strike defense
45%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.85
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
68%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.82

Trajectory

Lucero AcostaMontana De La Rosa
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
1 (17%)
Submission
8 (62%)
3 (50%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Montana De La Rosa65%
Lucero Acosta 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Montana De La Rosa a 65% favorite over Lucero Acosta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1568 vs 1570), separated by just 2 points.

Lucero Acosta finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Montana De La Rosa 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.