Luis Gomez vs Welisson Paiva
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Luis Gomez58%
Welisson Paiva 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luis Gomez a 58% favorite over Welisson Paiva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1558), separated by just 1 points.
Welisson Paiva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Luis Gomez finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Welisson Paiva 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record12-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
68"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMaster Kombat
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luis GomezWelisson Paiva