Luis Gurule vs Rei Tsuruya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record12-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
64"Reach68"
126 lbsWeight126 lbs
Factory XTeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1645 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Rei Tsuruya is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Luis Gurule carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1664
If they lose-11→ 1632
If they win+11→ 1767
If they lose-21→ 1735
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luis GuruleRei Tsuruya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rei Tsuruya71%
Luis Gurule 29%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Rei Tsuruya a 71% favorite over Luis Gurule in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Rei Tsuruya holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1756 to 1643, a 113-point edge.
Rei Tsuruya enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Luis Gurule finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Rei Tsuruya 83%.
Rei Tsuruya carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.