Luis Gurule vs Rei Tsuruya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record12-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
64"Reach68"
126 lbsWeight126 lbs
Factory XTeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1675 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Rei Tsuruya is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Luis Gurule carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1664
If they lose-11→ 1632
If they win+11→ 1764
If they lose-21→ 1732
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luis GuruleRei Tsuruya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rei Tsuruya81%
Luis Gurule 19%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Rei Tsuruya a 81% favorite over Luis Gurule in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Rei Tsuruya holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1753 to 1643, a 110-point edge.
Rei Tsuruya enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Luis Gurule finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Rei Tsuruya 83%.
Rei Tsuruya carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.