Combat Edge Intelligence

Luis Gurule vs Rei Tsuruya

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record11-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
64"Reach68"
126 lbsWeight126 lbs
Factory XTeamThe Blackbelt Japan

What's at stake

Rei Tsuruya is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Luis Gurule carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Luis GuruleNow 1641
If they win+20→ 1661
If they lose-12→ 1629
Rei TsuruyaNow 1729
If they win+12→ 1741
If they lose-20→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.70
Sig. strikes / min
2.40
44%
Strike accuracy
54%
5.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.91
58%
Strike defense
43%
0.67
Takedown avg.
5.03
16%
Takedown accuracy
6%
59%
Takedown defense
50%
0.22
Submission avg.
2.01

Trajectory

Luis GuruleRei Tsuruya
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
1 (9%)
Submission
5 (45%)
5 (45%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Rei Tsuruya73%
Luis Gurule 27%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Rei Tsuruya a 73% favorite over Luis Gurule in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Rei Tsuruya holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1729 to 1641, a 88-point edge.

Luis Gurule finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Rei Tsuruya 82%.

Rei Tsuruya carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.