Combat Edge Intelligence

Luis Gurule vs Yanis Ghemmouri

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record12-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'9"
64"Reach69,0"
126 lbsWeight135 lbs
Factory XTeamTeam Ezbiri

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luis GuruleNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
Yanis GhemmouriNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.70
Sig. strikes / min
2.29
44%
Strike accuracy
39%
5.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.14
58%
Strike defense
36%
0.67
Takedown avg.
0
16%
Takedown accuracy
0%
59%
Takedown defense
0%
0.22
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Luis GuruleYanis Ghemmouri
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
1 (9%)
Submission
4 (33%)
5 (45%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Luis Gurule and Yanis Ghemmouri within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1645), separated by just 3 points.

Yanis Ghemmouri enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Luis Gurule finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Yanis Ghemmouri 58%.

Yanis Ghemmouri carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.