Luke Riley
Elo1754GreatLuke Riley vs Mairon Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →Elo1754Great
Tale of the tape
14-0-0Record17-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
69"Reach 72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamParana Vale Tudo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1770
If they lose-16→ 1738
If they win+16→ 1772
If they lose-16→ 1740
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luke RileyMairon Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Riley63%
Mairon Santos 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Riley a 63% favorite over Mairon Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mairon Santos's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1754 vs 1756), separated by just 2 points.
Luke Riley enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Mairon Santos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Luke Riley finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Mairon Santos 53%.
Mairon Santos carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.