Mackenzie Dern vs Virna Jandiroba
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record23-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'3"
63"Reach 64"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
RVCATeamFight House
What's at stake
Virna Jandiroba is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Mackenzie Dern carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1753
If they lose-14→ 1721
If they win+14→ 1784
If they lose-18→ 1752
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mackenzie DernVirna Jandiroba
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mackenzie Dern75%
Virna Jandiroba 25%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Mackenzie Dern a 75% favorite over Virna Jandiroba in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Virna Jandiroba's way (45%).
Virna Jandiroba holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1770 to 1735, a 35-point edge.
Mackenzie Dern enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Mackenzie Dern finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Virna Jandiroba 65%.
Mackenzie Dern and Virna Jandiroba share 6 common opponents: Amanda Ribas, Lupita Godinez, Amanda Lemos and Angela Hill, among 6 in total.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.