Macy Chiasson vs Raquel Pennington
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record16-9-0
BantamweightDivisionWomen's Bantamweight
5'11"Height5'7"
72"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fortis MMATeamAltitude MMA
What's at stake
Raquel Pennington is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Macy Chiasson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1632
If they lose-13→ 1600
If they win+13→ 1688
If they lose-19→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Macy ChiassonRaquel Pennington
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Macy Chiasson62%
Raquel Pennington 38%Elo baseline: 41%
The Combat Edge model makes Macy Chiasson a 62% favorite over Raquel Pennington in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Raquel Pennington's way (41%).
Raquel Pennington holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1613, a 62-point edge.
Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Macy Chiasson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Raquel Pennington 31%.
Macy Chiasson and Raquel Pennington share 5 common opponents: Ketlen Vieira, Mayra Bueno Silva, Pannie Kianzad and Irene Aldana, among 5 in total.
Macy Chiasson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.