Combat Edge Intelligence

Makhmud Muradov vs Will Fleury

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-8-0Record17-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
75"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight238 lbs
Ankos MMATeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

Makhmud Muradov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Will Fleury carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Makhmud MuradovNow 1736
If they win+10→ 1746
If they lose-14→ 1722
Will FleuryNow 1692
If they win+18→ 1710
If they lose-14→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.21
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
3.03
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
78%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.19
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Makhmud MuradovWill Fleury
16501700175020252026

Win method breakdown

19 (63%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
3 (10%)
Submission
4 (24%)
8 (27%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Makhmud Muradov75%
Will Fleury 25%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Makhmud Muradov a 75% favorite over Will Fleury in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Makhmud Muradov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1692, a 44-point edge.

Makhmud Muradov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Makhmud Muradov finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Will Fleury 53%.

Will Fleury carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.