Makhmud Muradov vs Will Fleury
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-8-0Record17-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
75"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight238 lbs
Ankos MMA· 1671 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Makhmud Muradov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Will Fleury carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1747
If they lose-13→ 1723
If they win+18→ 1713
If they lose-14→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Makhmud MuradovWill Fleury
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Makhmud Muradov64%
Will Fleury 36%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Makhmud Muradov a 64% favorite over Will Fleury in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Makhmud Muradov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1695, a 41-point edge.
Makhmud Muradov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Makhmud Muradov finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Will Fleury 53%.
Will Fleury carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.