Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record18-8-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'9"
75"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tristar GymTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mandel NalloNate Landwehr
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mandel Nallo60%
Nate Landwehr 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Mandel Nallo a 60% favorite over Nate Landwehr in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nate Landwehr's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1640), separated by just 6 points.
Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mandel Nallo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nate Landwehr 61%.
Mandel Nallo carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.