Combat Edge Intelligence

Manel Kape vs Ode Osbourne

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Manel Kape
ao

Manel Kape

“Starboy”

23-7-0FlyweightUFC

1750Great
Ode Osbourne
us

Ode Osbourne

“The Jamaican Sensation”

13-9-0FlyweightUFC

1591Solid

Tale of the tape

23-7-0Record13-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach73"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
AKA ThailandTeamWaukesha MMA

What's at stake

Manel Kape is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ode Osbourne carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Manel KapeNow 1750
If they win+9→ 1759
If they lose-23→ 1727
Ode OsbourneNow 1591
If they win+23→ 1614
If they lose-9→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.68
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
55%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
57%
Strike defense
49%
0.36
Takedown avg.
0.94
20%
Takedown accuracy
0%
79%
Takedown defense
67%
0.24
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Manel KapeOde Osbourne
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (65%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
5 (22%)
Submission
4 (31%)
3 (13%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Manel Kape92%
Ode Osbourne 8%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Manel Kape a 92% favorite over Ode Osbourne in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Manel Kape holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1591, a 159-point edge.

Manel Kape enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Ode Osbourne enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Manel Kape finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Ode Osbourne 77%.

Manel Kape and Ode Osbourne share 1 common opponent: Asu Almabayev.

Ode Osbourne carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO · 2025
Asu Almabayev
LossSubmission · 2023