Manel Kape vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-7-0Record19-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
68"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
AKA ThailandTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Manel Kape is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Zhalgas Zhumagulov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1762
If they lose-21→ 1730
If they win+21→ 1664
If they lose-11→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Manel KapeZhalgas Zhumagulov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manel Kape83%
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 17%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Manel Kape a 83% favorite over Zhalgas Zhumagulov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Manel Kape holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1643, a 108-point edge.
Manel Kape enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Manel Kape finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Zhalgas Zhumagulov 53%.
Manel Kape and Zhalgas Zhumagulov share 1 common opponent: David Dvořák.
Manel Kape carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.