Mara Romero Borella vs Montana De La Rosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-9-0Record13-9-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
38,0"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Montana De La Rosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Mara Romero Borella carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1549
If they lose-14→ 1517
If they win+14→ 1596
If they lose-18→ 1564
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mara Romero BorellaMontana De La Rosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Montana De La Rosa70%
Mara Romero Borella 30%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Montana De La Rosa a 70% favorite over Mara Romero Borella in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Montana De La Rosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1582 to 1531, a 51-point edge.
Mara Romero Borella enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mara Romero Borella finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Montana De La Rosa 69%.
Mara Romero Borella and Montana De La Rosa share 1 common opponent: Mayra Bueno Silva.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.