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Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcin Tybura vs Mick Parkin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

27-12-0Record10-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78"Reach 79"
247 lbsWeight263 lbs
Ankos MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamUnit 1 Martial Arts and Fitness

What's at stake

Marcin Tybura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mick Parkin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marcin TyburaNow 1707
If they win+11→ 1718
If they lose-13→ 1694
Mick ParkinNow 1666
If they win+18→ 1684
If they lose-14→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
4.70
48%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.13
55%
Strike defense
59%
1.30
Takedown avg.
1.38
33%
Takedown accuracy
0%
71%
Takedown defense
50%
0.11
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Marcin TyburaMick Parkin
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (37%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
7 (26%)
Submission
1 (10%)
10 (37%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Marcin Tybura and Mick Parkin within a point of even.

Marcin Tybura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1666, a 41-point edge.

Marcin Tybura enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mick Parkin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marcin Tybura finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Mick Parkin 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.