Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcin Tybura vs Mick Parkin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-11-0Record10-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78"Reach 79"
247 lbsWeight263 lbs
Ankos MMATeamUnit 1 Martial Arts and Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcin TyburaNow 1721
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709
Mick ParkinNow 1709
If they win+17→ 1726
If they lose-15→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
4.91
48%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.15
55%
Strike defense
58%
1.30
Takedown avg.
1.49
33%
Takedown accuracy
42%
71%
Takedown defense
50%
0.11
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Marcin TyburaMick Parkin
16001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (37%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
7 (26%)
Submission
1 (10%)
10 (37%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Mick Parkin60%
Marcin Tybura 40%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Mick Parkin a 60% favorite over Marcin Tybura in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcin Tybura's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1709), separated by just 12 points.

Marcin Tybura enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marcin Tybura finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Mick Parkin 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.