Combat Edge Intelligence

Marco Tulio vs Riki Fukuda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marco Tulio
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Marco Tulio

“Matuto”

14-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1672Good

Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record24-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamGrabaka

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marco TulioNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Riki FukudaNow 1670
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.69
Sig. strikes / min
4.67
59%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.45
60%
Strike defense
64%
1.42
Takedown avg.
2.60
27%
Takedown accuracy
45%
0%
Takedown defense
70%
0.35
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marco TulioRiki Fukuda
16501700201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
12 (50%)
1 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (21%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Marco Tulio67%
Riki Fukuda 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marco Tulio a 67% favorite over Riki Fukuda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1670), separated by just 2 points.

Marco Tulio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marco Tulio finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Riki Fukuda 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.