Mario Filipe de Sousa vs Marvin Vettori
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-4-1Record19-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'5"Height6'0"
45,0"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Caes do RingueTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mario Filipe de SousaMarvin Vettori
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marvin Vettori54%
Mario Filipe de Sousa 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marvin Vettori a 54% favorite over Mario Filipe de Sousa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1688), separated by just 3 points.
Mario Filipe de Sousa enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mario Filipe de Sousa finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.