Marlon Vera vs Yadong Song
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-12-1Record23-9-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team OyamaTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
Yadong Song is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Marlon Vera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1723
If they lose-11→ 1699
If they win+11→ 1762
If they lose-13→ 1738
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1749 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marlon VeraYadong Song
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yadong Song66%
Marlon Vera 34%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Yadong Song a 66% favorite over Marlon Vera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Yadong Song holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1710, a 41-point edge.
Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Marlon Vera finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Yadong Song 57%.
Marlon Vera and Yadong Song share 3 common opponents: Deiveson Figueiredo, Sean O'Malley and Cory Sandhagen.
Marlon Vera carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.