Marvin Vettori vs Roman Dolidze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-10-1Record15-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
74"Reach 76"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Roman Dolidze is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Marvin Vettori carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1701
If they lose-11→ 1677
If they win+14→ 1739
If they lose-18→ 1707
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1753 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marvin VettoriRoman Dolidze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roman Dolidze60%
Marvin Vettori 40%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Roman Dolidze a 60% favorite over Marvin Vettori in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Roman Dolidze holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1725 to 1688, a 37-point edge.
Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Roman Dolidze enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marvin Vettori finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Roman Dolidze 73%.
Marvin Vettori and Roman Dolidze share 2 common opponents: Kevin Holland and Jack Hermansson.
Roman Dolidze carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.