Marvin Vettori vs Tom Breese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-11-1Record21-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
74"Reach73.5"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeam Renegade· 1736 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1688
If they lose-12→ 1664
If they win+12→ 1693
If they lose-12→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marvin VettoriTom Breese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marvin Vettori65%
Tom Breese 35%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Marvin Vettori a 65% favorite over Tom Breese in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tom Breese's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1681), separated by just 5 points.
Marvin Vettori enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Marvin Vettori finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Tom Breese 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.