Mason Jones vs Renato Moicano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-3-0Record21-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
74"Reach72″
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
What's at stake
Renato Moicano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mason Jones carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1740
If they lose-15→ 1708
If they win+11→ 1754
If they lose-13→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mason JonesRenato Moicano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mason Jones63%
Renato Moicano 37%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Mason Jones a 63% favorite over Renato Moicano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Renato Moicano's way (47%).
Renato Moicano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1743 to 1723, a 20-point edge.
Mason Jones finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Renato Moicano 62%.
Mason Jones carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.