Mason Jones vs Renato Moicano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record21-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
74"Reach72″
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
Pedro Bessa BJJTeamFirst Fight Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1760
If they lose-16→ 1728
If they win+12→ 1755
If they lose-12→ 1731
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mason JonesRenato Moicano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mason Jones60%
Renato Moicano 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mason Jones a 60% favorite over Renato Moicano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1744 vs 1743), separated by just 1 points.
Mason Jones enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Mason Jones finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Renato Moicano 62%.
Mason Jones carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.