Combat Edge Intelligence

Mason Jones vs Tommy Gantt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mason Jones
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Mason Jones

“The Dragon”

18-3-0LightweightUFC

1723Good

Tale of the tape

18-3-0Record12-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
74"Reach76"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mason JonesNow 1723
If they win+16→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1707
Tommy GanttNow 1723
If they win+16→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1707

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.98
Sig. strikes / min
1.08
43%
Strike accuracy
100%
4.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.36
51%
Strike defense
67%
3.48
Takedown avg.
10.78
29%
Takedown accuracy
40%
74%
Takedown defense
0%
0.17
Submission avg.
5.39

Trajectory

Mason JonesTommy Gantt
16001700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
3 (17%)
Submission
5 (42%)
7 (39%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mason Jones and Tommy Gantt within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1723 vs 1723), separated by just 0 points.

Tommy Gantt enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Mason Jones finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Gantt 92%.

Tommy Gantt carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.