Mateusz Gamrot vs Rafael Fiziev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-4-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
Mateusz Gamrot is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Rafael Fiziev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1833
If they lose-15→ 1809
If they win+20→ 1750
If they lose-12→ 1718
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1751 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mateusz GamrotRafael Fiziev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mateusz Gamrot60%
Rafael Fiziev 40%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Gamrot a 60% favorite over Rafael Fiziev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Mateusz Gamrot holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1824 to 1730, a 94-point edge.
Mateusz Gamrot finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Fiziev 71%.
Mateusz Gamrot and Rafael Fiziev share 1 common opponent: Rafael dos Anjos.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.