Mateusz Gamrot vs Scott Holtzman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
26-4-0Record14-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamShield Systems
What's at stake
Mateusz Gamrot is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Scott Holtzman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1831
If they lose-17→ 1807
If they win+23→ 1687
If they lose-9→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1751 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mateusz GamrotScott Holtzman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mateusz Gamrot88%
Scott Holtzman 12%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Gamrot a 88% favorite over Scott Holtzman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Mateusz Gamrot holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1824 to 1664, a 160-point edge.
Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mateusz Gamrot finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Scott Holtzman 50%.
Mateusz Gamrot and Scott Holtzman share 1 common opponent: Beneil Dariush.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.