Mateusz Gamrot vs Scott Holtzman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-5-0Record14-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamShield Systems
What's at stake
Mateusz Gamrot is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Scott Holtzman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1817
If they lose-17→ 1793
If they win+22→ 1687
If they lose-10→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1752 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mateusz GamrotScott Holtzman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mateusz Gamrot92%
Scott Holtzman 8%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Gamrot a 92% favorite over Scott Holtzman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Mateusz Gamrot holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1810 to 1665, a 145-point edge.
Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mateusz Gamrot finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Scott Holtzman 50%.
Mateusz Gamrot and Scott Holtzman share 1 common opponent: Beneil Dariush.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.