Mateusz Rębecki vs Renato Moicano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-5-0Record21-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'11"
66"Reach72″
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFirst Fight Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1755
If they lose-12→ 1731
If they win+12→ 1755
If they lose-12→ 1731
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mateusz RębeckiRenato Moicano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mateusz Rębecki and Renato Moicano within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1743 vs 1743), separated by just 0 points.
Mateusz Rębecki finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Renato Moicano 62%.
Mateusz Rębecki and Renato Moicano share 1 common opponent: Chris Duncan.
Renato Moicano carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.