Combat Edge Intelligence

Matt Schnell vs Miroslav Brož

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record16-5-1
FlyweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70"Reach73.6"
135 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamRenegade Prague Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matt SchnellNow 1606
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1594
Miroslav BrožNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
0.60
Takedown avg.
TBD
45%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
43%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.21
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Matt SchnellMiroslav Brož
1600165020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
9 (56%)
Submission
2 (13%)
5 (31%)
Decision
10 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Miroslav Brož52%
Matt Schnell 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Miroslav Brož a 52% favorite over Matt Schnell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Schnell's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1603), separated by just 3 points.

Matt Schnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Miroslav Brož enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matt Schnell finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Miroslav Brož 38%.

Miroslav Brož carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.