Max Griffin vs Victor Valenzuela
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
20-13-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
76"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMAGOLD Fight TeamTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Max Griffin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Victor Valenzuela carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1679
If they lose-14→ 1655
If they win+19→ 1632
If they lose-13→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Max GriffinVictor Valenzuela
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Max Griffin57%
Victor Valenzuela 43%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Max Griffin a 57% favorite over Victor Valenzuela in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Max Griffin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1669 to 1613, a 56-point edge.
Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Victor Valenzuela enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Max Griffin finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Victor Valenzuela 64%.
Max Griffin carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.