Combat Edge Intelligence

Maycee Barber vs Montana De La Rosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record13-9-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
65"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Maycee Barber is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Montana De La Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Maycee BarberNow 1722
If they win+10→ 1732
If they lose-22→ 1700
Montana De La RosaNow 1581
If they win+22→ 1603
If they lose-10→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.61
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
54%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.39
55%
Strike defense
45%
1.58
Takedown avg.
1.85
46%
Takedown accuracy
33%
52%
Takedown defense
68%
0.09
Submission avg.
0.82

Trajectory

Maycee BarberMontana De La Rosa
155016001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
2 (13%)
Submission
8 (62%)
7 (47%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Maycee Barber87%
Montana De La Rosa 13%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Maycee Barber a 87% favorite over Montana De La Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Maycee Barber holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1722 to 1581, a 141-point edge.

Maycee Barber finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Montana De La Rosa 69%.

Maycee Barber and Montana De La Rosa share 1 common opponent: Andrea Lee.

Montana De La Rosa carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Split · 2023
Andrea Lee
WinDecision - Split · 2024
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2019