Combat Edge Intelligence

Mayra Bueno Silva vs Melissa Mullins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-7-1Record7-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
66"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight138 lbs
American Top TeamTeamLions Gym Coventry

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mayra Bueno SilvaNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Melissa MullinsNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
57%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.39
52%
Strike defense
53%
0.51
Takedown avg.
2.03
24%
Takedown accuracy
43%
64%
Takedown defense
86%
1.33
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mayra Bueno SilvaMelissa Mullins
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
7 (70%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (20%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Melissa Mullins51%
Mayra Bueno Silva 49%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Mullins a 51% favorite over Mayra Bueno Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mayra Bueno Silva's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1595), separated by just 9 points.

Mayra Bueno Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Melissa Mullins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mayra Bueno Silva finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Mullins 57%.

Melissa Mullins carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.