Combat Edge Intelligence

Mehemmedeli Osmanli vs Yuya Wakamatsu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record21-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
-Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Zabit Samedov FCTeamTribe Tokyo MMA· 1647 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mehemmedeli OsmanliNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Yuya WakamatsuNow 1691
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Mehemmedeli OsmanliYuya Wakamatsu
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
15 (71%)
6 (55%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (18%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Yuya Wakamatsu56%
Mehemmedeli Osmanli 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yuya Wakamatsu a 56% favorite over Mehemmedeli Osmanli in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mehemmedeli Osmanli's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1691), separated by just 3 points.

Mehemmedeli Osmanli enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Mehemmedeli Osmanli finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Yuya Wakamatsu 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.