Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
UFC 333 : VOLKANOVSKI VS EVLOEV · Oct 24, 2026 · Petr Yan won by Decision (unanimous)Official fight page →UFC 323 : DVALISHVILI VS YAN 2 · Dec 6, 2025 · Petr Yan won by Decision (unanimous)Official fight page →UFC FIGHT NIGHT : YAN VS DVALISHVILI · Mar 11, 2023 · Merab Dvalishvili won by Decision - UnanimousOfficial fight page →Compare two other fighters →
Combat Edge model read
Petr Yan57%
Merab Dvalishvili 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Petr Yan a 57% favorite over Merab Dvalishvili in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1831 vs 1834), separated by just 3 points.
Merab Dvalishvili enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Petr Yan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Merab Dvalishvili finishes 24% of wins inside the distance, Petr Yan 38%.
Merab Dvalishvili and Petr Yan share 2 common opponents: Cory Sandhagen and Sean O'Malley.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
21-6-0Record21-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1768 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamArchangel Michael Club· 1777 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1843
If they lose-12→ 1819
If they win+12→ 1846
If they lose-12→ 1822
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1797 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1782 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Merab DvalishviliPetr Yan