Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-5-0Record20-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamArchangel Michael Club· 1764 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Merab Dvalishvili is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Petr Yan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1854
If they lose-13→ 1830
If they win+13→ 1830
If they lose-11→ 1806
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1788 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1778 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Merab DvalishviliPetr Yan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Petr Yan59%
Merab Dvalishvili 41%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Petr Yan a 59% favorite over Merab Dvalishvili in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Merab Dvalishvili's way (46%).
Merab Dvalishvili holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1843 to 1817, a 26-point edge.
Petr Yan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Merab Dvalishvili finishes 24% of wins inside the distance, Petr Yan 40%.
Merab Dvalishvili and Petr Yan share 3 common opponents: Cory Sandhagen, Sean O'Malley and José Aldo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.